Tadamon Sour 1-0 Racing Beirut — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.27
Draw
17%
4.95
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
2.0
Over 2.5
64%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
2.51
No
47%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
3%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
75%
-8.5pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.2pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+8.7pp
36%
Under 2.5
46%
-10.5pp
64%
Over 2.5
54%
+10.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
36%
+17.6pp
47%
BTTS No
64%
-17.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tadamon Sour EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Beirut EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -69% / -1%
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
378 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tadamon Sour
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Racing Beirut
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
69% Ball Possession 31%
15 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 0-1 HT 0-1 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
30.03.2025 Racing Beirut Racing Beirut 0-0 HT 0-0 Tadamon Sour Tadamon Sour LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tadamon Sour
1-0
AWAY Racing Beirut
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
1 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Tadamon Sour vs Racing Beirut
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tadamon Sour edged past Racing Beirut 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Tadamon Sour as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tadamon Sour had 53% of the ball to Racing Beirut's 47%, shots finished 11-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tadamon Sour had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Tadamon Sour and 0.00 for Racing Beirut.

What was the final score of Tadamon Sour vs Racing Beirut?

Tadamon Sour 1-0 Racing Beirut in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tadamon Sour vs Racing Beirut?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tadamon Sour win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Tadamon Sour 67%, draw 18%, Racing Beirut 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tadamon Sour) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Tadamon Sour) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Jun 2026
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