Al Nejmeh 5-0 Al Mabarrah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lebanon - Premier League, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
70%
1.3
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.86
Over 2.5
44%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.44
No
56%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
2%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
70%
Home Win
72%
-2.5pp
20%
Draw
18%
+1.5pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+1.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
50%
+6.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
50%
-6.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
37%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
63%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nejmeh EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Mabarrah EU Bookmakers 12%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
2.78/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/2.00
+30% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +9%
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 3
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nejmeh
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Al Mabarrah
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
07.12.2025 Al Mabarrah Al Mabarrah 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Nejmeh Al Nejmeh LUBN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Nejmeh
5-0
AWAY Al Mabarrah
60% Ball Possession 40%
25 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nejmeh cruised past Al Mabarrah 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nejmeh as the likeliest winner at 70%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Al Nejmeh had 60% of the ball to Al Mabarrah's 40%, shots finished 25-6.

What was the final score of Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah?

Al Nejmeh 5-0 Al Mabarrah in the Lebanon - Premier League on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nejmeh vs Al Mabarrah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nejmeh win the most likely single outcome at about 70%, with the full match-result split Al Nejmeh 70%, draw 20%, Al Mabarrah 10%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nejmeh), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Nejmeh) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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LUBN More Lebanon - Premier League
21 Jun 2026
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