AC Connecticut 1-2 Black Rock — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 21 Jun 2026

📅21/06/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
58%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.29
Over 2.5
66%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.56
No
38%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
24%
+0.4pp
18%
Draw
23%
-5.2pp
58%
Away Win
53%
+4.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
40%
-5.8pp
66%
Over 2.5
60%
+5.8pp
62%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.7pp
38%
BTTS No
40%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AC Connecticut EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Black Rock EU Bookmakers 57%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +31% / +31%
1.45/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
-2% / +106% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% /
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
302 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AC Connecticut
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Black Rock
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
10.07.2025 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut 1-4 HT 0-3 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
08.07.2023 Black Rock Black Rock 0-2 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut USL2
25.05.2023 AC Connecticut AC Connecticut 0-1 HT 0-0 Black Rock Black Rock USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AC Connecticut
1-2
AWAY Black Rock
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AC Connecticut vs Black Rock
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Black Rock squeezed past AC Connecticut 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Black Rock as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (62%) came in.

On the day, AC Connecticut had 51% of the ball to Black Rock's 49%, shots finished 14-14.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Black Rock led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AC Connecticut and 1.67 for Black Rock.

What was the final score of AC Connecticut vs Black Rock?

AC Connecticut 1-2 Black Rock in the USA - USL League 2 on 21/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AC Connecticut vs Black Rock?

Before kick-off our model rated an Black Rock win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split AC Connecticut 24%, draw 18%, Black Rock 58%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Black Rock), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Black Rock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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