Varnsdorf 1-1 Viktoria Zizkov — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Czech Republic - FNL, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.21
Over 2.5
49%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.49
No
49%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
32%
Away Win
37%
-5.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
63%
-12.2pp
49%
BTTS No
37%
+12.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Varnsdorf EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Zizkov EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -13%
1.74/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.41
+19% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
357 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 363 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Varnsdorf
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Viktoria Zizkov
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
12.05.2024 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov 1-1 HT 1-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
29.10.2023 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 4-2 HT 1-1 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
28.11.2021 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov 0-2 HT 0-1 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
01.08.2021 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 2-1 HT 1-1 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
02.05.2021 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov 1-0 HT 0-0 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf ÇEK2
25.11.2020 Varnsdorf Varnsdorf 1-3 HT 0-3 Viktoria Zizkov Viktoria Zizkov ÇEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Varnsdorf
1-1
AWAY Viktoria Zizkov
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Varnsdorf vs Viktoria Zizkov
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Varnsdorf and Viktoria Zizkov couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Varnsdorf at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Varnsdorf had 50% of the ball to Viktoria Zizkov's 50%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Varnsdorf had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Varnsdorf and 1.33 for Viktoria Zizkov.

What was the final score of Varnsdorf vs Viktoria Zizkov?

Varnsdorf 1-1 Viktoria Zizkov in the Czech Republic - FNL on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Varnsdorf vs Viktoria Zizkov?

Before kick-off our model rated a Varnsdorf win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Varnsdorf 42%, draw 26%, Viktoria Zizkov 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varnsdorf) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varnsdorf) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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