Skövde AIK 1-0 IK Brage — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 21 Jul 2024

Skövde AIK
1-0 HT 1-0
IK Brage
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Skövde AIK vs IK Brage Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.75
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
40%
1.77
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.86
Over 2.5
41%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.26
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 30% vs market 25.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
6.65
1/2
5%
24.45
1/X
6%
14.85
X/1
11%
8.58
X/2
24%
4.11
X/X
15%
4.78
2/1
8%
34.5
2/2
11%
2.38
2/X
9%
14.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
23%
+6.5pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.9pp
40%
Away Win
52%
-12.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
50%
+8.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
50%
-8.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Skövde AIK v IK Brage — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY IK Brage EU Bookmakers 56%
+21% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.18/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-15% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 406 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards –

Skövde AIK vs IK Brage Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
0W-3D-1L
AWAY IK Brage
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.10.2023 IK Brage IK Brage 3-2 HT 2-1 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
30.04.2023 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 0-0 HT 0-0 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
18.10.2022 IK Brage IK Brage 0-0 HT 0-0 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
16.07.2022 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK 1-1 HT 0-1 IK Brage IK Brage İSÇ2
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs IK Brage
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skövde AIK nicked a narrow win over IK Brage 1-0.

Our pre-match split (29% / 31% / 40%) promised a tight game; Skövde AIK found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, IK Brage led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Skövde AIK and 1.00 for IK Brage.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs IK Brage?

Skövde AIK 1-0 IK Brage in the Sweden - Superettan on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs IK Brage?

Before kick-off our model rated an IK Brage win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 29%, draw 31%, IK Brage 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (IK Brage) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (IK Brage) ✓ Under 2.5
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