Haukar 0-4 KFG Gardabar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - 2nd Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.92
Draw
20%
3.72
Away
29%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.35
No
44%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
48%
+3.5pp
20%
Draw
23%
-3.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.2pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
70%
-14.3pp
44%
BTTS No
30%
+14.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Haukar EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY KFG Gardabar EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
2.13/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.16
+5% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Haukar
1W-0D-1L
AWAY KFG Gardabar
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
3 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2023 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar 1-3 HT 0-1 Haukar Haukar İZL2
11.06.2023 Haukar Haukar 1-3 HT 0-2 KFG Gardabar KFG Gardabar İZL2
POST-MATCH Haukar vs KFG Gardabar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KFG Gardabar swept aside Haukar 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Haukar at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, over 2.5 goals (60%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Haukar and 2.00 for KFG Gardabar.

What was the final score of Haukar vs KFG Gardabar?

Haukar 0-4 KFG Gardabar in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Haukar vs KFG Gardabar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Haukar win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Haukar 51%, draw 20%, KFG Gardabar 29%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Haukar), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Haukar) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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