UMF Tindastoll vs Völsungur Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
UMF Tindastoll v Völsungur — Team-Based Signals
UMF Tindastoll 3-4 Völsungur — Actual Match Statistics
Völsungur edged past UMF Tindastoll 4-3 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had UMF Tindastoll at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (66%) came in.
On the day, UMF Tindastoll had 43% of the ball to Völsungur's 57%, shots finished 5-17.
What was the final score of UMF Tindastoll vs Völsungur?
UMF Tindastoll 3-4 Völsungur in the Iceland - 2nd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for UMF Tindastoll vs Völsungur?
Before kick-off our model rated a UMF Tindastoll win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split UMF Tindastoll 55%, draw 24%, Völsungur 20%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (UMF Tindastoll) went the other way.