Guarani FC 2-3 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.77
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.36
Over 2.5
31%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.33
No
63%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.92
2-3 Goals
38%
1.87
4-5 Goals
13%
7.1
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.8pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.9pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.7pp
69%
Under 2.5
70%
-1.2pp
31%
Over 2.5
30%
+1.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
39%
-1.9pp
63%
BTTS No
61%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 32%
-1% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
1.21/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.12
-2% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
316 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
22.1 Crosses 17.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Goias
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.12 xG 1.32
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
334 Passes 228
79% Pass Accuracy 71%
18 Box Touches 13
29 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
23.11.2021 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-2 HT 0-2 Goias Goias BR2
14.08.2021 Goias Goias 2-1 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
05.09.2018 Guarani FC Guarani FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR2
19.05.2018 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
29.10.2017 Goias Goias 1-1 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
12.07.2017 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
2-3
AWAY Goias
1.61 xG 1.34
72% Ball Possession 28%
25 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 1
483 Passes 122
84% Pass Accuracy 54%
31 Box Touches 7
31 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias nicked a narrow win over Guarani FC 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 31% / 30% — and on the day Goias made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (69%), no to both teams scoring (63%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Guarani FC had 72% of the ball to Goias's 28%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 1.61 to 1.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Guarani FC and 1.33 for Goias.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Goias?

Guarani FC 2-3 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guarani FC win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 38%, draw 31%, Goias 30%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Guarani FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
21 Jul 2024
00:00 Paysandu vs Ponte Preta Analysis →