Botev Vratsa 1-3 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.46
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
42%
1.91
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.82
Over 2.5
43%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.76
No
53%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
25%
-1.4pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.3pp
42%
Away Win
48%
-5.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
51%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
49%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.5pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botev Vratsa EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 52%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.92/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.13/0.51
-13% / +102% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +30%
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botev Vratsa
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 6
10.02.2018 Botev Plovdiv Botev Plovdiv 0-3 HT 0-2 Botev Vratsa Botev Vratsa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botev Vratsa
1-3
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botev Plovdiv beat Botev Vratsa 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Botev Plovdiv as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Botev Vratsa had 36% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 64%, shots finished 8-13.

What was the final score of Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?

Botev Vratsa 1-3 Botev Plovdiv in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated an Botev Plovdiv win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Botev Vratsa 24%, draw 34%, Botev Plovdiv 42%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Botev Plovdiv) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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