Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 CSKA Sofia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bulgaria - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.49
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
63%
-11.9pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.7pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+1.4pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY CSKA Sofia EU Bookmakers 20%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
3.23/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/2.71
+99% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -45%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ludogorets Razgrad
4W-1D-0L
AWAY CSKA Sofia
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
11.05.2024 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-1 HT 1-1 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
10.12.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
13.08.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 3-0 HT 2-0 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
20.05.2023 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad 2-2 HT 1-2 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia BUL1
30.04.2023 CSKA Sofia CSKA Sofia 0-1 HT 0-0 Ludogorets Razgrad Ludogorets Razgrad BUL1
POST-MATCH Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ludogorets Razgrad edged past CSKA Sofia 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ludogorets Razgrad as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ludogorets Razgrad had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ludogorets Razgrad and 0.60 for CSKA Sofia.

What was the final score of Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 CSKA Sofia in the Bulgaria - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ludogorets Razgrad vs CSKA Sofia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ludogorets Razgrad win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Ludogorets Razgrad 51%, draw 26%, CSKA Sofia 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ludogorets Razgrad) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BUL1 More Bulgaria - 1st Division
21 Jul 2024
19:00 Botev Vratsa vs Botev Plovdiv Analysis →