Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
25%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.91
Over 2.5
41%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.4
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
3.49
6+ Goals
9%
13.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.4 — our 32% vs market 24.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
11%
X/1
28%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
57%
-8.6pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.1pp
25%
Away Win
19%
+5.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.3pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 22%
-21% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.67/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
-35% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
349 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
28.6 Crosses 12.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.56 xG 0.60
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
240 Passes 340
70% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 1
10.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
19.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.03.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
22.08.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-2 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2022 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
2-0
AWAY Ansan Greeners
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa saw off Ansan Greeners 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 52% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 48%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.83 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 48%, draw 27%, Ansan Greeners 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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