Tromsdalen 4-2 Junkeren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
64%
1.27
Draw
21%
5.71
Away
15%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
3.94
Over 2.5
66%
1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
9.56
2-3 Goals
38%
2.5
4-5 Goals
33%
2.33
6+ Goals
14%
3.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
64%
Home Win
74%
-10.7pp
21%
Draw
15%
+6.4pp
15%
Away Win
11%
+4.1pp
34%
Under 2.5
22%
+12.1pp
66%
Over 2.5
78%
-12.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.8pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tromsdalen EU Bookmakers 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Junkeren EU Bookmakers 14%
-5% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.32/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/3.01
-12% / +72% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -14%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tromsdalen
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Junkeren
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
5 Corners 5
02.09.2023 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen 4-0 HT 3-0 Junkeren Junkeren NOR3
14.05.2023 Junkeren Junkeren 1-2 HT 1-0 Tromsdalen Tromsdalen NOR3
POST-MATCH Tromsdalen vs Junkeren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tromsdalen saw off Junkeren 4-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tromsdalen as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (66%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tromsdalen had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Tromsdalen and 0.50 for Junkeren.

What was the final score of Tromsdalen vs Junkeren?

Tromsdalen 4-2 Junkeren in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tromsdalen vs Junkeren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tromsdalen win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Tromsdalen 64%, draw 21%, Junkeren 15%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tromsdalen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tromsdalen) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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