Valerenga II 1-5 Grorud IL — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 2nd Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.08
Draw
18%
3.8
Away
51%
1.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.96
Over 2.5
61%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.38
No
46%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.13
2-3 Goals
36%
2.2
4-5 Goals
32%
2.45
6+ Goals
11%
4.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
14%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
21%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
28%
+2.6pp
18%
Draw
23%
-4.6pp
51%
Away Win
49%
+1.9pp
39%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.3pp
61%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
68%
-14.8pp
46%
BTTS No
32%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valerenga II EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Grorud IL EU Bookmakers 54%
+20% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.39/2.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.43
+53% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
373 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 387 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valerenga II
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Grorud IL
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2023 Valerenga II Valerenga II 1-0 HT 1-0 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
10.07.2023 Grorud IL Grorud IL 4-1 HT 3-1 Valerenga II Valerenga II NOR3
04.05.2015 Valerenga II Valerenga II 1-2 HT 1-1 Grorud IL Grorud IL NOR3
POST-MATCH Valerenga II vs Grorud IL
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Grorud IL cruised past Valerenga II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Grorud IL as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 5-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Grorud IL led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Valerenga II and 2.00 for Grorud IL.

What was the final score of Valerenga II vs Grorud IL?

Valerenga II 1-5 Grorud IL in the Norway - 2nd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valerenga II vs Grorud IL?

Before kick-off our model rated an Grorud IL win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valerenga II 31%, draw 18%, Grorud IL 51%. The final score 1-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grorud IL), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Grorud IL) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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