21/07/2024
·
17:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
3-1
Harstad vs Ulfstind Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
13%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
53%
22%
Draw
21%
29%
Away Win
26%
32%
Under 2.5
28%
68%
Over 2.5
72%
61%
BTTS Yes
70%
39%
BTTS No
30%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Harstad v Ulfstind — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Harstad
EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY
Ulfstind
EU Bookmakers 29%
-17% /
-17%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+14% /
+14%
2.08/3.00
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
1.00/1.00
-13%
/
-52%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-41%
/
+128%
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Target
4
5
Corners
3
332 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
337 · 80%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
2.0
POST-MATCH
Harstad vs Ulfstind
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Harstad edged past Ulfstind 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harstad as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
What was the final score of Harstad vs Ulfstind?
Harstad 2-1 Ulfstind in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Harstad vs Ulfstind?
Before kick-off our model rated a Harstad win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Harstad 49%, draw 22%, Ulfstind 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harstad), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Harstad)
✓ Over 2.5
✓ BTTS Yes
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NOR4
More Norway - 3rd Division
21 Jul 2024