Lorenskog 5-1 Aalesund II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
34%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.23
Over 2.5
56%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
53%
-12.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
34%
Away Win
24%
+10.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
41%
+3.4pp
56%
Over 2.5
59%
-3.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lorenskog EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Aalesund II EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
2.07/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/0.36
-14% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +150%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
POST-MATCH Lorenskog vs Aalesund II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lorenskog cruised past Aalesund II 5-1. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Lorenskog made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Lorenskog vs Aalesund II?

Lorenskog 5-1 Aalesund II in the Norway - 3rd Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lorenskog vs Aalesund II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lorenskog win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Lorenskog 40%, draw 26%, Aalesund II 34%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lorenskog), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lorenskog) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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