Melbourne Victory U23 4-1 Langwarrin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.76
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
31%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.14
Over 2.5
68%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.35
No
37%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-9.2pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
31%
Away Win
26%
+4.1pp
32%
Under 2.5
28%
+3.3pp
68%
Over 2.5
72%
-3.3pp
63%
BTTS Yes
70%
-6.9pp
37%
BTTS No
30%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory U23 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Langwarrin EU Bookmakers 30%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+104% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
340 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory U23 vs Langwarrin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory U23 ran out comfortable winners over Langwarrin 4-1. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Melbourne Victory U23 as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory U23 vs Langwarrin?

Melbourne Victory U23 4-1 Langwarrin in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory U23 vs Langwarrin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Victory U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory U23 43%, draw 26%, Langwarrin 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne Victory U23), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Melbourne Victory U23) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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