Western United II 1-2 Brunswick City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Victoria NPL 2, 21 Jul 2024

Western United II
1-2 HT 1-1
Brunswick City
📅21/07/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 – 2024

Western United II vs Brunswick City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
29%
4.34
Away
20%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
27%
3.17
Over 2.5
73%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
68%
1.39
No
32%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
42%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-6.4pp
29%
Draw
20%
+9.3pp
20%
Away Win
23%
-2.8pp
27%
Under 2.5
28%
-1.0pp
73%
Over 2.5
72%
+1.0pp
68%
BTTS Yes
68%
+0.3pp
32%
BTTS No
32%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Western United II v Brunswick City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Brunswick City EU Bookmakers 26%
-66% / -66% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
-33% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -70% / -25%
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
424 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –
POST-MATCH Western United II vs Brunswick City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brunswick City edged past Western United II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Western United II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (73%), both teams to score (68%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Western United II vs Brunswick City?

Western United II 1-2 Brunswick City in the Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United II vs Brunswick City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western United II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Western United II 51%, draw 29%, Brunswick City 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western United II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western United II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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