Celje 2-1 NK Bravo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.43
Draw
24%
4.19
Away
26%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.91
Over 2.5
52%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.41
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.48
6+ Goals
11%
13.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 25% vs market 23.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
65%
-15.9pp
24%
Draw
20%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
14%
+11.8pp
48%
Under 2.5
48%
-0.2pp
52%
Over 2.5
52%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Celje EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY NK Bravo EU Bookmakers 17%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -10%
1.74/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.50
-8% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
433 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Celje
5W-1D-0L
AWAY NK Bravo
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.04.2024 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-0 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
18.02.2024 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-0 HT 0-0 Celje Celje SLVN
26.11.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-2 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
07.10.2023 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
23.04.2023 NK Bravo NK Bravo 0-3 HT 0-1 Celje Celje SLVN
22.02.2023 Celje Celje 2-1 HT 1-1 NK Bravo NK Bravo SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Celje
2-1
AWAY NK Bravo
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Celje vs NK Bravo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Celje edged past NK Bravo 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Celje as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Celje had 71% of the ball to NK Bravo's 29%, shots finished 18-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Celje had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Celje and 0.50 for NK Bravo.

What was the final score of Celje vs NK Bravo?

Celje 2-1 NK Bravo in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Celje vs NK Bravo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Celje win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Celje 50%, draw 24%, NK Bravo 26%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Celje), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Celje) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SLVN More Slovenia - 1st Division
21 Jul 2024
18:30 Maribor vs Domzale Analysis →