Maribor 4-1 Domzale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2024

📅21/07/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.1
Over 2.5
54%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.95
No
48%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.0
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
25%
3.11
6+ Goals
13%
10.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
68%
-11.0pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.8pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maribor EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Domzale EU Bookmakers 16%
+3% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
2.43/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.70
+31% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / +19%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
410 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maribor
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Domzale
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 0-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
02.03.2024 Maribor Maribor 3-0 HT 2-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
04.11.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-2 HT 1-1 Maribor Maribor SLVN
26.08.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-1 HT 1-1 Domzale Domzale SLVN
22.04.2023 Maribor Maribor 1-0 HT 0-0 Domzale Domzale SLVN
23.02.2023 Domzale Domzale 1-1 HT 1-0 Maribor Maribor SLVN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maribor
4-1
AWAY Domzale
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Maribor vs Domzale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maribor swept aside Domzale 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maribor as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Maribor had 53% of the ball to Domzale's 47%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maribor had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maribor and 0.67 for Domzale.

What was the final score of Maribor vs Domzale?

Maribor 4-1 Domzale in the Slovenia - 1st Division on 21/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maribor vs Domzale?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maribor win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Maribor 57%, draw 22%, Domzale 20%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maribor), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maribor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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