America Mineiro 0-1 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
17%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.59
Over
40%
2.16
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.19
No
56%
1.59
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.36
2-3
48%
1.74
4-5
16%
4.65
6+
3%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
1%
1/X
4%
X/1
21%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME America Mineiro The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense The Market 22%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Strong
1.85 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.78
0.72 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.21
Average Attack Strength Average
Average Defense Strength Strong
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
325 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14
22 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
1W-5D-0L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.67 xG 0.98
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
361 Passes 261
82% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 12
27 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.08.2024 America Mineiro America Mineiro 0-0 HT 0-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
04.05.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
01.12.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
17.08.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
20.12.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-2 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
26.09.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
0 - 1
AWAY Chapecoense
66% Ball Possession 34%
25 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
510 Passes 216
87% Pass Accuracy 71%
REVIEW America Mineiro vs Chapecoense
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Chapecoense nicked a narrow win over America Mineiro 1-0 away from home.

File this under upsets: a 56% lean on America Mineiro went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

The match data tells the story: America Mineiro had 66% of the ball to Chapecoense's 34%, shots finished 25-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, America Mineiro had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America Mineiro and 0.83 for Chapecoense.

America Mineiro vs Chapecoense Result & Final Score

America Mineiro 0 - 1 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

America Mineiro vs Chapecoense Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 56%, draw 27%, Chapecoense 17%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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