America Mineiro 0-0 Chapecoense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.47
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
20%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
3.09
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.79
6+ Goals
9%
16.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.09 — our 32% vs market 26.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
64%
-10.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.5pp
20%
Away Win
14%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America Mineiro EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Chapecoense EU Bookmakers 17%
+3% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +15%
1.61/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.52
+7% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +35%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
358 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
23.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.4
21.6 Crosses 13.9
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America Mineiro
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Chapecoense
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.45 xG 1.16
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 14
25 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.05.2024 Chapecoense Chapecoense 2-2 HT 1-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
01.12.2021 America Mineiro America Mineiro 3-0 HT 1-0 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR1
17.08.2021 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-1 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
20.12.2020 America Mineiro America Mineiro 2-2 HT 0-1 Chapecoense Chapecoense BR2
26.09.2020 Chapecoense Chapecoense 0-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR2
28.10.2018 Chapecoense Chapecoense 1-0 HT 0-0 America Mineiro America Mineiro BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America Mineiro
0-0
AWAY Chapecoense
1.63 xG 0.72
63% Ball Possession 37%
16 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
423 Passes 194
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 11
27 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH America Mineiro vs Chapecoense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America Mineiro and Chapecoense fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was America Mineiro at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, America Mineiro had 63% of the ball to Chapecoense's 37%, shots finished 16-15, expected goals 1.63 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for America Mineiro and 1.00 for Chapecoense.

What was the final score of America Mineiro vs Chapecoense?

America Mineiro 0-0 Chapecoense in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America Mineiro vs Chapecoense?

Before kick-off our model rated a America Mineiro win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split America Mineiro 53%, draw 27%, Chapecoense 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America Mineiro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America Mineiro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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