Guarani FC 1-1 Santos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.29
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
17%
5.99
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
27%
+4.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.1pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.4pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.4pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.2pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guarani FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Santos EU Bookmakers 46%
-3% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.11/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.12
-2% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
303 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 81%
15.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.4
20.0 Crosses 18.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guarani FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Santos
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.40 xG 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
288 Passes 412
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
15 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.05.2024 Santos Santos 4-1 HT 2-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BR2
05.02.2024 Santos Santos 2-0 HT 0-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
19.01.2023 Guarani FC Guarani FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Santos Santos BREPAU
06.02.2022 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
28.01.2020 Guarani FC Guarani FC 1-2 HT 0-1 Santos Santos BREPAU
19.02.2019 Santos Santos 3-0 HT 1-0 Guarani FC Guarani FC BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Guarani FC
1-1
AWAY Santos
0.59 xG 0.18
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
221 Passes 371
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 6
15 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Guarani FC vs Santos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guarani FC and Santos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Santos at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (62%) landed while no to both teams scoring (61%) missed.

On the day, Guarani FC had 42% of the ball to Santos's 58%, shots finished 13-5, expected goals 0.59 to 0.18.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Guarani FC and 2.00 for Santos.

What was the final score of Guarani FC vs Santos?

Guarani FC 1-1 Santos in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guarani FC vs Santos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Guarani FC 31%, draw 26%, Santos 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Santos), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santos) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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