Mirassol FC vs Botafogo SP Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mirassol FC v Botafogo SP — Team-Based Signals
Mirassol FC vs Botafogo SP Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Botafogo SP
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Mirassol FC
BR2
1-1
HT 1-1
Mirassol FC
BREPAU
1-1
HT 0-1
Mirassol FC
BRE3
1-0
HT 1-0
Botafogo SP
BRE3
Mirassol FC 1-2 Botafogo SP — Actual Match Statistics
Botafogo SP edged past Mirassol FC 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Mirassol FC at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Mirassol FC had 61% of the ball to Botafogo SP's 39%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.87 to 0.94.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mirassol FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mirassol FC and 0.50 for Botafogo SP.
What was the final score of Mirassol FC vs Botafogo SP?
Mirassol FC 1-2 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mirassol FC vs Botafogo SP?
Before kick-off our model rated a Mirassol FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mirassol FC 49%, draw 28%, Botafogo SP 23%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.