CRB 0-2 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Aug 2024

CRB
0-2 HT 0-1
Ceara
📅22/08/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
29%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.48
Over 2.5
35%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.15
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
17%
5.83
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
31%
+0.4pp
29%
Away Win
33%
-3.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.6pp
35%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 37%
+9% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -18%
1.22/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.76
+19% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -37%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 77%
17.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.4
18.4 Crosses 19.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Ceara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.14 xG 0.87
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
246 Passes 281
73% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
24.05.2024 Ceara Ceara 0-1 HT 0-1 CRB CRB BRK
07.05.2024 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
03.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRK
07.10.2023 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
11.06.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
18.02.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
0-2
AWAY Ceara
0.82 xG 1.22
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
378 Passes 248
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 11
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH CRB vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara beat CRB 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ceara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CRB had 58% of the ball to Ceara's 42%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.82 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for CRB and 0.67 for Ceara.

What was the final score of CRB vs Ceara?

CRB 0-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split CRB 39%, draw 31%, Ceara 29%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (CRB) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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