CRB 1-0 Ceara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 3 May 2024

CRB
1-0 HT 0-0
Ceara
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

CRB vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
30%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.54
Over 2.5
39%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.06
No
58%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.38
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
5.06
6+ Goals
9%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.0pp
30%
Away Win
25%
+4.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
61%
+0.2pp
39%
Over 2.5
39%
-0.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.8pp
58%
BTTS No
56%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CRB v Ceara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CRB EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceara EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
– Crosses 21.8
– Yellow Cards 3.0

CRB vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CRB
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Ceara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.33 xG 0.99
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
248 Passes 295
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
17 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.10.2023 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
11.06.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
18.02.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
25.03.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BRCDN
23.07.2020 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
12.08.2017 Ceara Ceara 1-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BR2

CRB 1-0 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CRB
1-0
AWAY Ceara
1.66 xG 0.23
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
305 Passes 241
79% Pass Accuracy 75%
15 Box Touches 7
25 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH CRB vs Ceara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB squeezed past Ceara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 30%) promised a tight game; CRB found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, CRB had 55% of the ball to Ceara's 45%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.66 to 0.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold CRB's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for CRB and 0.83 for Ceara.

What was the final score of CRB vs Ceara?

CRB 1-0 Ceara in the Brazil - Cup on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CRB vs Ceara?

Before kick-off our model rated a CRB win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split CRB 40%, draw 30%, Ceara 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CRB), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CRB) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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