Goias 1-0 Cuiaba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 3 May 2024

Goias
1-0 HT 1-0
Cuiaba
📅03/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
2.94
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.48
Over 2.5
38%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.16
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
5.82
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
-0.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+2.1pp
62%
Under 2.5
64%
-2.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
36%
+2.2pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.5pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 31%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
309 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Cuiaba
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.91 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
251 Passes 360
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 4
22.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
05.06.2023 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
30.03.2023 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRVK
27.03.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BRVK
24.10.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-2 Goias Goias BR1
27.06.2022 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
1-0
AWAY Cuiaba
0.65 xG 0.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 4
289 Passes 382
76% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 21
14 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Goias vs Cuiaba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias nicked a narrow win over Cuiaba 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Goias had 46% of the ball to Cuiaba's 54%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.65 to 0.46.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Goias and 0.67 for Cuiaba.

What was the final score of Goias vs Cuiaba?

Goias 1-0 Cuiaba in the Brazil - Cup on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Cuiaba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Goias 42%, draw 29%, Cuiaba 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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