Palmeiras 2-1 Botafogo SP — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Brazil - Cup, 3 May 2024

📅03/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
75%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.67
Away
9%
7.88
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
1.98
Over
52%
1.76
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.17
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1
24%
3.75
2-3
46%
1.82
4-5
24%
3.24
6+
6%
11.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
49%
1.69
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
3%
20.55
X/1
22%
3.36
X/2
4%
15.5
X/X
10%
5.96
2/1
3%
25.5
2/2
5%
13.45
2/X
3%
21.45
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Palmeiras The Market 77%
Signal
AWAY Botafogo SP The Market 13%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Bad
2.15 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.59
0.71 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.97
Average Attack Strength Bad
Bad Defense Strength Great
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 3
362 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
25 Crosses –
1 Yellow Cards –
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Palmeiras
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Botafogo SP
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
269 Passes 146
82% Pass Accuracy 69%
20.01.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
19.04.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
24.01.2019 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
21.01.2018 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
05.02.2017 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
31.01.2016 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-2 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Palmeiras
2 - 1
AWAY Botafogo SP
2.57 xG 0.78
69% Ball Possession 31%
27 Total Shots 12
11 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
496 Passes 163
88% Pass Accuracy 66%
44 Box Touches 13
32 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 4
REVIEW Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Palmeiras shaded a tight game against Botafogo SP 2-1. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Palmeiras as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, possession split 69% to 31% in Palmeiras's favour, shots finished 27-12, expected goals 2.57 to 0.78 — on chances created, Palmeiras won this by more than the scoreboard admits.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Palmeiras against 0.00 for Botafogo SP.

Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP Result & Final Score

Palmeiras 2 - 1 Botafogo SP in the Brazil - Cup on 03/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Palmeiras vs Botafogo SP Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Palmeiras 75%, draw 16%, Botafogo SP 9%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Palmeiras), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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