Ceara 2-2 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 7 May 2024

Ceara
2-2 HT 1-1
CRB
📅07/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.54
Over 2.5
34%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
40%
2.3
2-3 Goals
37%
1.79
4-5 Goals
16%
5.32
6+ Goals
7%
33.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.3 — our 40% vs market 36.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
17%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-2.2pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.6pp
66%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.9pp
34%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.4pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -4%
1.49/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.27
-20% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -15%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
308 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
23.8 Crosses 14.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
1W-2D-3L
AWAY CRB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.73 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
274 Passes 282
78% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRK
07.10.2023 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
11.06.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
18.02.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
25.03.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BRCDN
23.07.2020 CRB CRB 1-2 HT 0-1 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
2-2
AWAY CRB
0.74 xG 0.86
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 6
216 Passes 216
73% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 14
36 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ceara vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceara and CRB shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ceara had 52% of the ball to CRB's 48%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.74 to 0.86.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceara and 1.33 for CRB.

What was the final score of Ceara vs CRB?

Ceara 2-2 CRB in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ceara 42%, draw 31%, CRB 27%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
BR2 More Brazil - Serie B
7 May 2024
02:00 Ponte Preta vs Amazonas Analysis →
03:00 Santos vs Guarani FC Analysis →