Santos vs Guarani FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santos v Guarani FC — Team-Based Signals
Santos vs Guarani FC Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 1-0
Santos
BREPAU
1-1
HT 0-1
Santos
BREPAU
1-2
HT 0-1
Santos
BREPAU
3-0
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BREPAU
2-1
HT 1-0
Guarani FC
BREPAU
Santos 4-1 Guarani FC — Actual Match Statistics
Santos ran out comfortable winners over Guarani FC 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Santos as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (61%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Santos had 55% of the ball to Guarani FC's 45%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 1.31 to 1.21.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Santos had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Santos and 0.83 for Guarani FC.
What was the final score of Santos vs Guarani FC?
Santos 4-1 Guarani FC in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santos vs Guarani FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santos win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Santos 48%, draw 31%, Guarani FC 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.