Ponte Preta 3-0 Amazonas — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 7 May 2024

📅07/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.45
Over 2.5
35%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.19
No
63%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
41%
2.1
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
15%
6.07
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
18%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-2.4pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.4pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
65%
Under 2.5
65%
+0.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
35%
-0.2pp
37%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.6pp
63%
BTTS No
58%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponte Preta EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Amazonas EU Bookmakers 29%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-4% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
330 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 76%
17.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.8 Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponte Preta
3-0
AWAY Amazonas
0.76 xG 0.36
44% Ball Possession 56%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 3
349 Passes 480
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 13
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ponte Preta vs Amazonas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponte Preta swept aside Amazonas 3-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ponte Preta as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (63%) landed while under 2.5 goals (65%) missed.

On the day, Ponte Preta had 44% of the ball to Amazonas's 56%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 0.76 to 0.36.

What was the final score of Ponte Preta vs Amazonas?

Ponte Preta 3-0 Amazonas in the Brazil - Serie B on 07/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponte Preta vs Amazonas?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponte Preta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Ponte Preta 43%, draw 32%, Amazonas 26%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponte Preta), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponte Preta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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