Ceara 0-1 CRB — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 24 May 2024

Ceara
0-1 HT 0-1
CRB
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Ceara vs CRB Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
29%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.56
Over 2.5
46%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.38
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
5.06
6+ Goals
10%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
50%
-5.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-1.7pp
29%
Away Win
22%
+7.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.0pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ceara v CRB — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceara EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY CRB EU Bookmakers 25%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.26/0.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/1.50
-11% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / -6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
347 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
– Crosses 21.0
– Yellow Cards –

Ceara vs CRB Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceara
0W-3D-3L
AWAY CRB
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.73 xG 1.29
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
259 Passes 266
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
07.05.2024 Ceara Ceara 2-2 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
03.05.2024 CRB CRB 1-0 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRK
07.10.2023 CRB CRB 2-0 HT 1-0 Ceara Ceara BR2
11.06.2023 Ceara Ceara 1-3 HT 1-1 CRB CRB BR2
18.02.2023 CRB CRB 1-1 HT 0-0 Ceara Ceara BRCDN
25.03.2022 Ceara Ceara 0-0 HT 0-0 CRB CRB BRCDN

Ceara 0-1 CRB — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ceara
0-1
AWAY CRB
1.42 xG 0.54
63% Ball Possession 37%
24 Total Shots 11
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
370 Passes 167
81% Pass Accuracy 63%
32 Box Touches 13
18 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ceara vs CRB
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CRB edged past Ceara 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Ceara at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Ceara had 63% of the ball to CRB's 37%, shots finished 24-11, expected goals 1.42 to 0.54 — on chances, Ceara could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, CRB led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ceara and 1.50 for CRB.

What was the final score of Ceara vs CRB?

Ceara 0-1 CRB in the Brazil - Cup on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceara vs CRB?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceara win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Ceara 45%, draw 26%, CRB 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ceara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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