Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 24 May 2024

Botafogo SP
0-0 HT 0-0
Palmeiras
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
6.35
Draw
30%
3.94
Away
44%
1.42
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.71
Over 2.5
36%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
37%
2.82
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.14
6+ Goals
7%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 37% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
15%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
24%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
12%
+13.4pp
30%
Draw
22%
+8.2pp
44%
Away Win
66%
-21.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
55%
+9.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
45%
-9.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.1pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Botafogo SP v Palmeiras — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Botafogo SP EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Palmeiras EU Bookmakers 70%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / -3%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
– Crosses 29.0
– Yellow Cards 0.7

Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Botafogo SP
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Palmeiras
0.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 2.57
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
150 Passes 326
68% Pass Accuracy 83%
13 Box Touches 44
9 Crosses 32
4 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.05.2024 Palmeiras Palmeiras 2-1 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BRK
20.01.2023 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-1 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
19.04.2021 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-0 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
24.01.2019 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 1-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU
21.01.2018 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP 0-1 HT 0-0 Palmeiras Palmeiras BREPAU
05.02.2017 Palmeiras Palmeiras 1-0 HT 0-0 Botafogo SP Botafogo SP BREPAU

Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Botafogo SP
0-0
AWAY Palmeiras
0.50 xG 0.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 8
240 Passes 350
73% Pass Accuracy 79%
19 Box Touches 9
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Botafogo SP and Palmeiras fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Palmeiras at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Botafogo SP had 44% of the ball to Palmeiras's 56%, shots finished 8-8, expected goals 0.50 to 0.67.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Palmeiras led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.17 goals for Botafogo SP and 1.00 for Palmeiras.

What was the final score of Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras?

Botafogo SP 0-0 Palmeiras in the Brazil - Cup on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Botafogo SP vs Palmeiras?

Before kick-off our model rated an Palmeiras win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Botafogo SP 26%, draw 30%, Palmeiras 44%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Palmeiras) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Palmeiras) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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