Cuiaba 1-0 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 24 May 2024

Cuiaba
1-0 HT 0-0
Goias
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.06
No
62%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.35
2-3 Goals
37%
1.78
4-5 Goals
17%
5.14
6+ Goals
8%
31.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.4pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.0pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.0pp
38%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.7pp
62%
BTTS No
56%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cuiaba EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.56/0.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/0.93
-59% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +90% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
389 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
Crosses 11.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cuiaba
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Goias
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.16 xG 0.85
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
388 Passes 268
84% Pass Accuracy 76%
25 Box Touches 15
25 Crosses 15
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2024 Goias Goias 1-0 HT 1-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRK
22.10.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-1 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR1
05.06.2023 Goias Goias 0-1 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BR1
30.03.2023 Goias Goias 2-0 HT 0-0 Cuiaba Cuiaba BRVK
27.03.2023 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-0 HT 1-0 Goias Goias BRVK
24.10.2022 Cuiaba Cuiaba 1-2 HT 0-2 Goias Goias BR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cuiaba
1-0
AWAY Goias
1.00 xG 0.11
66% Ball Possession 34%
16 Total Shots 4
7 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
511 Passes 231
87% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 5
26 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cuiaba vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cuiaba squeezed past Goias 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (37% / 30% / 33%) promised a tight game; Cuiaba found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Cuiaba had 66% of the ball to Goias's 34%, shots finished 16-4, expected goals 1.00 to 0.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cuiaba and 1.00 for Goias.

What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Goias?

Cuiaba 1-0 Goias in the Brazil - Cup on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 37%, draw 30%, Goias 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cuiaba), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Cuiaba) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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