Criciuma 0-2 Bahia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 24 May 2024

Criciuma
0-2 HT 0-0
Bahia
📅24/05/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Brazil - Cup – 2024

Criciuma vs Bahia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.9
No
56%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.61
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.52
6+ Goals
7%
24.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.61 — our 35% vs market 32.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.1pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
49%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS No
51%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Criciuma v Bahia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Criciuma EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahia EU Bookmakers 39%
-32% / -32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -29% / -29%
0.00/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.49
-100% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
289 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.0
– Crosses 20.0
– Yellow Cards 4.0

Criciuma vs Bahia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Criciuma
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Bahia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.84 xG 1.04
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
340 Passes 376
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
01.05.2024 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BRK
09.09.2022 Criciuma Criciuma 0-0 HT 0-0 Bahia Bahia BR2
04.06.2022 Bahia Bahia 2-1 HT 0-1 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
01.10.2016 Bahia Bahia 2-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2
15.06.2016 Criciuma Criciuma 3-2 HT 0-1 Bahia Bahia BR2
21.10.2015 Bahia Bahia 1-0 HT 0-0 Criciuma Criciuma BR2

Criciuma 0-2 Bahia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Criciuma
0-2
AWAY Bahia
1.00 xG 1.03
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
350 Passes 377
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
25 Box Touches 27
29 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Criciuma vs Bahia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bahia saw off Criciuma 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Bahia found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Criciuma had 49% of the ball to Bahia's 51%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.00 to 1.03.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bahia led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Criciuma and 1.33 for Bahia.

What was the final score of Criciuma vs Bahia?

Criciuma 0-2 Bahia in the Brazil - Cup on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Criciuma vs Bahia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Criciuma win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Criciuma 39%, draw 29%, Bahia 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Criciuma) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Criciuma) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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