Sao Paulo 2-0 Aguia de Maraba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Cup, 24 May 2024

📅24/05/2024 · 🕒03:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
66%
1.11
Draw
17%
8.11
Away
17%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
3.17
Over 2.5
52%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.6
No
56%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
7.93
2-3 Goals
40%
2.29
4-5 Goals
25%
2.39
6+ Goals
10%
4.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
30%
X/2
7%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
66%
Home Win
85%
-18.7pp
17%
Draw
9%
+8.0pp
17%
Away Win
6%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
28%
+19.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
72%
-19.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
34%
+10.2pp
56%
BTTS No
66%
-10.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sao Paulo EU Bookmakers 90%
Head to Head
AWAY Aguia de Maraba EU Bookmakers 9%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.64/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/6.00
+7% / +67% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / -66%
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
462 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 73%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
42.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sao Paulo
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Aguia de Maraba
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.24 xG 0.09
76% Ball Possession 24%
22 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 0
635 Passes 169
90% Pass Accuracy 74%
33 Box Touches 3
22 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
03.05.2024 Aguia de Maraba Aguia de Maraba 1-3 HT 1-2 Sao Paulo Sao Paulo BRK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sao Paulo
2-0
AWAY Aguia de Maraba
3.51 xG 0.20
72% Ball Possession 28%
27 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 0
15 Corners 3
531 Passes 170
90% Pass Accuracy 73%
51 Box Touches 3
35 Crosses 8
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sao Paulo vs Aguia de Maraba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sao Paulo beat Aguia de Maraba 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sao Paulo as the likeliest winner at 66%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Sao Paulo had 72% of the ball to Aguia de Maraba's 28%, shots finished 27-5, expected goals 3.51 to 0.20.

What was the final score of Sao Paulo vs Aguia de Maraba?

Sao Paulo 2-0 Aguia de Maraba in the Brazil - Cup on 24/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sao Paulo vs Aguia de Maraba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sao Paulo win the most likely single outcome at about 66%, with the full match-result split Sao Paulo 66%, draw 17%, Aguia de Maraba 17%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sao Paulo), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sao Paulo) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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