Goias 4-1 Brusque — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 22 Aug 2024

📅22/08/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.61
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.59
Over 2.5
42%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.45
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
4.87
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
58%
-7.0pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+4.9pp
58%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Goias EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Brusque EU Bookmakers 19%
-3% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.41/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.48
+22% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -12%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
21.2 Crosses 15.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Goias
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Brusque
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.70 xG 1.15
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
298 Passes 359
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 14
21 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.05.2024 Brusque Brusque 0-2 HT 0-1 Goias Goias BR2
28.11.2021 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-1 Brusque Brusque BR2
20.08.2021 Brusque Brusque 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Goias
4-1
AWAY Brusque
2.55 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 8
251 Passes 284
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Goias vs Brusque
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias swept aside Brusque 4-1. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Goias as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Goias had 48% of the ball to Brusque's 52%, shots finished 13-14, expected goals 2.55 to 0.72.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Goias had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Goias and 0.67 for Brusque.

What was the final score of Goias vs Brusque?

Goias 4-1 Brusque in the Brazil - Serie B on 22/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Goias vs Brusque?

Before kick-off our model rated a Goias win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Goias 51%, draw 28%, Brusque 21%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Goias) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Goias) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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