Brusque 0-2 Goias — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Brazil - Serie B, 5 May 2024

📅05/05/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.48
Over 2.5
36%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.09
No
63%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2.21
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
16%
5.61
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
30%
Draw
31%
-0.7pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
64%
Under 2.5
64%
+0.6pp
36%
Over 2.5
36%
-0.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
44%
-6.8pp
63%
BTTS No
56%
+6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brusque EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Goias EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -4%
1.25/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.08
-6% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
266 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 79%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.2
25.0 Crosses 19.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brusque
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Goias
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 2.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 8
290 Passes 289
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 28
22 Crosses 26
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.11.2021 Goias Goias 2-2 HT 0-1 Brusque Brusque BR2
20.08.2021 Brusque Brusque 0-1 HT 0-0 Goias Goias BR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brusque
0-2
AWAY Goias
0.97 xG 0.88
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
499 Passes 315
89% Pass Accuracy 83%
16 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 10
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Brusque vs Goias
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Goias beat Brusque 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 30% / 33% — and on the day Goias made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Brusque had 60% of the ball to Goias's 40%, shots finished 17-12, expected goals 0.97 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Goias led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Brusque and 1.50 for Goias.

What was the final score of Brusque vs Goias?

Brusque 0-2 Goias in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brusque vs Goias?

Before kick-off our model rated a Brusque win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brusque 37%, draw 30%, Goias 33%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Brusque) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brusque) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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