Vila Nova vs Operario PR Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vila Nova v Operario PR — Team-Based Signals
Vila Nova vs Operario PR Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Operario PR
BR2
2-1
HT 1-0
Operario PR
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Vila Nova
BR2
0-0
HT 0-0
Operario PR
BR2
1-0
HT 0-0
Vila Nova
BR2
Vila Nova 1-0 Operario PR — Actual Match Statistics
Vila Nova squeezed past Operario PR 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Vila Nova as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Vila Nova had 47% of the ball to Operario PR's 53%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 1.66 to 0.90.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vila Nova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vila Nova and 0.67 for Operario PR.
What was the final score of Vila Nova vs Operario PR?
Vila Nova 1-0 Operario PR in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vila Nova vs Operario PR?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vila Nova win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Vila Nova 45%, draw 29%, Operario PR 26%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vila Nova), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.