Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Ruch Chorzow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 21 Jul 2025

📅21/07/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.8
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.55
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
25%
4.23
6+ Goals
9%
21.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
32%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.1pp
40%
Away Win
39%
+1.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.0pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 43%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +9%
1.17/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.19
+2% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
244 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
0.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
1.54 xG 1.06
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
177 Passes 364
65% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 22
15 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.07.2025 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 1-1 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice HAZ
06.04.2024 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 0-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL
30.09.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
17.02.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
30.07.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Puszcza Niepolomice
1-1
AWAY Ruch Chorzow
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Puszcza Niepolomice vs Ruch Chorzow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Puszcza Niepolomice and Ruch Chorzow couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (33% / 27% / 40%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Puszcza Niepolomice had 42% of the ball to Ruch Chorzow's 58%, shots finished 10-9.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Puszcza Niepolomice and 1.20 for Ruch Chorzow.

What was the final score of Puszcza Niepolomice vs Ruch Chorzow?

Puszcza Niepolomice 1-1 Ruch Chorzow in the Poland - 1st Division on 21/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Puszcza Niepolomice vs Ruch Chorzow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Puszcza Niepolomice 33%, draw 27%, Ruch Chorzow 40%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Under 2.5
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