Ruch Chorzow 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.82
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
27%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.8
Over 2.5
44%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.12
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.75
6+ Goals
11%
15.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.12 — our 31% vs market 26.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.48
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
14.4
X/1
16%
4.12
X/2
15%
8.01
X/X
12%
4.72
2/1
7%
24.85
2/2
7%
6.26
2/X
9%
14.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
51%
-5.2pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.4pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
52%
+4.2pp
44%
Over 2.5
48%
-4.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ruch Chorzow EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice EU Bookmakers 27%
-25% / -29% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.66/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.65
-40% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -51%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.3
24.0 Crosses 21.6
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ruch Chorzow
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.61 xG 2.27
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
356 Passes 153
81% Pass Accuracy 64%
13 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 2-2 HT 2-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL
17.02.2023 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice 0-1 HT 0-0 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow POL1
30.07.2022 Ruch Chorzow Ruch Chorzow 2-0 HT 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice Puszcza Niepolomice POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ruch Chorzow
0-0
AWAY Puszcza Niepolomice
1.51 xG 0.80
60% Ball Possession 40%
22 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 5
371 Passes 201
82% Pass Accuracy 66%
32 Box Touches 21
40 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ruch Chorzow vs Puszcza Niepolomice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ruch Chorzow and Puszcza Niepolomice played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Ruch Chorzow at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ruch Chorzow had 60% of the ball to Puszcza Niepolomice's 40%, shots finished 22-15, expected goals 1.51 to 0.80.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ruch Chorzow had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ruch Chorzow and 0.67 for Puszcza Niepolomice.

What was the final score of Ruch Chorzow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Ruch Chorzow 0-0 Puszcza Niepolomice in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ruch Chorzow vs Puszcza Niepolomice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ruch Chorzow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Ruch Chorzow 46%, draw 27%, Puszcza Niepolomice 27%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ruch Chorzow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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