Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Warta Poznan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - Ekstraklasa, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
30%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.45
Over 2.5
43%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.14
2-3 Goals
47%
1.81
4-5 Goals
13%
5.9
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
2.71
1/2
3%
34.5
1/X
7%
15.2
X/1
8%
4.0
X/2
14%
8.04
X/X
15%
3.52
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
12%
7.21
2/X
4%
16.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.4pp
26%
Draw
30%
-3.8pp
30%
Away Win
22%
+8.3pp
57%
Under 2.5
65%
-8.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
35%
+8.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Slask Wroclaw EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 25%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -6%
1.18/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.45
-6% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +18%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
21.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
20.9 Crosses 13.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Slask Wroclaw
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Warta Poznan
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.22 xG 1.36
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
419 Passes 269
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
19 Box Touches 20
26 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
30.09.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 0-1 HT 0-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
14.04.2023 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 3-1 HT 2-1 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
03.10.2022 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 0-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
13.12.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-1 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
25.07.2021 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw 2-2 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
09.05.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-3 HT 1-0 Slask Wroclaw Slask Wroclaw POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Slask Wroclaw
2-1
AWAY Warta Poznan
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 2
POST-MATCH Slask Wroclaw vs Warta Poznan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Slask Wroclaw squeezed past Warta Poznan 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Slask Wroclaw as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Slask Wroclaw had 52% of the ball to Warta Poznan's 48%, shots finished 5-4.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Slask Wroclaw and 1.83 for Warta Poznan.

What was the final score of Slask Wroclaw vs Warta Poznan?

Slask Wroclaw 2-1 Warta Poznan in the Poland - Ekstraklasa on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Slask Wroclaw vs Warta Poznan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Slask Wroclaw win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Slask Wroclaw 44%, draw 26%, Warta Poznan 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Slask Wroclaw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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