Kilmarnock 1-0 Hamilton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - League Cup, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.42
Draw
20%
4.62
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.63
Over 2.5
49%
1.44
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.61
No
57%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
5.55
2-3 Goals
34%
1.99
4-5 Goals
24%
2.45
6+ Goals
10%
5.41
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.55 — our 32% vs market 12.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
6%
X/X
8%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
66%
-5.1pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.0pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
34%
+17.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
66%
-17.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
58%
-14.8pp
57%
BTTS No
42%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Hamilton EU Bookmakers 18%
-26% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.61/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.82/1.58
-72% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
6W-0D-0L
AWAY Hamilton
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
2.23 xG 0.48
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
215 Passes 360
67% Pass Accuracy 81%
14 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 1
05.03.2022 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-0 HT 1-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
26.12.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 2-3 HT 1-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
30.11.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 2-3 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCK
23.10.2021 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-1 HT 1-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
21.08.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKCL
16.05.2021 Hamilton Hamilton 0-2 HT 0-2 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
FAQ Kilmarnock vs Hamilton
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Kilmarnock edged past Hamilton 1-0 in the Scotland - League Cup on 21 Jul 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 43%.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock have the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.83 for Hamilton.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Hamilton?

Kilmarnock 1-0 Hamilton in the Scotland - League Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Hamilton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 61%, draw 20%, Hamilton 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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