Preston vs Newcastle Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Preston v Newcastle — Team-Based Signals
Preston 3-2 Newcastle — Actual Match Statistics
Preston squeezed past Newcastle 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Newcastle at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.19 to 0.84 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Preston's control.
What was the final score of Preston vs Newcastle?
Preston 3-2 Newcastle in the Australia - FFA Cup on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Preston vs Newcastle?
Before kick-off our model rated an Newcastle win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Preston 22%, draw 18%, Newcastle 60%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Newcastle) went the other way.