Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.05
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.92
2-3 Goals
40%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
2.57
6+ Goals
10%
6.29
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
45%
-4.0pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+11.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-11.2pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.8pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mamelodi Sundowns EU Bookmakers 34%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
2.22/1.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+40% / -38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
461 · 87% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 85%
19.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin vs Mamelodi Sundowns
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hertha Berlin and Mamelodi Sundowns shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

We called this one close before kick-off — 41% / 23% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Hertha Berlin 1-1 Mamelodi Sundowns in the Friendlies on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin vs Mamelodi Sundowns?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin 41%, draw 23%, Mamelodi Sundowns 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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