Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Slaven Belupo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 21 Jul 2026

📅21/07/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.33
Draw
30%
5.71
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
No
36%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
32%
4-5 Goals
34%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
19%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
70%
-20.9pp
30%
Draw
14%
+15.8pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Slaven Belupo EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +74% / +74%
0.90/0.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/0.00
-61% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +83% /
56% Ball Possession 44%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
429 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.5 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shakhtar Donetsk
2-2
AWAY Slaven Belupo
14 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shakhtar Donetsk vs Slaven Belupo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shakhtar Donetsk and Slaven Belupo couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shakhtar Donetsk at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (59%), both teams to score (64%) came in.

On the day, shots finished 14-7.

What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Slaven Belupo?

Shakhtar Donetsk 2-2 Slaven Belupo in the Friendlies on 21/07/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Slaven Belupo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 49%, draw 30%, Slaven Belupo 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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