Luzern II 0-1 Paradiso — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.33
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.15
Over 2.5
56%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.55
No
51%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
39%
+3.8pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.8pp
44%
Under 2.5
43%
+1.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
57%
-1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.2pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luzern II EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Paradiso EU Bookmakers 39%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
0.21/2.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.59/1.26
-88% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +35%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
329 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luzern II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Paradiso
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
55% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.04.2024 Paradiso Paradiso 1-0 HT 0-0 Luzern II Luzern II İSV1Y
30.09.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 0-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Luzern II
0-1
AWAY Paradiso
63% Ball Possession 37%
19 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Luzern II vs Paradiso
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso edged past Luzern II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Luzern II at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Luzern II had 63% of the ball to Paradiso's 37%, shots finished 19-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Paradiso led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Luzern II and 1.00 for Paradiso.

What was the final score of Luzern II vs Paradiso?

Luzern II 0-1 Paradiso in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luzern II vs Paradiso?

Before kick-off our model rated a Luzern II win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Luzern II 43%, draw 23%, Paradiso 35%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Luzern II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Luzern II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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