Paradiso 1-0 Luzern II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.0
Over 2.5
63%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.66
No
39%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-1.4pp
21%
Draw
25%
-4.2pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
46%
-9.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
54%
+9.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
56%
+4.3pp
39%
BTTS No
44%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paradiso EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Luzern II EU Bookmakers 33%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -22% / -22%
1.01/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.32/2.38
-44% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
352 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Paradiso
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Luzern II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
35% Ball Possession 65%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
30.09.2023 Luzern II Luzern II 0-1 HT 0-1 Paradiso Paradiso İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paradiso
1-0
AWAY Luzern II
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Paradiso vs Luzern II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Paradiso squeezed past Luzern II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Paradiso as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Paradiso had 56% of the ball to Luzern II's 44%, shots finished 15-6.

What was the final score of Paradiso vs Luzern II?

Paradiso 1-0 Luzern II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paradiso vs Luzern II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Paradiso win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Paradiso 44%, draw 21%, Luzern II 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paradiso) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Paradiso) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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