Bavois 1-0 Basel II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.02
Draw
33%
3.28
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.89
Over 2.5
46%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
No
49%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
22%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
46%
-8.9pp
33%
Draw
27%
+5.6pp
31%
Away Win
27%
+3.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
31%
+23.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
69%
-23.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bavois EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Basel II EU Bookmakers 31%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +2%
2.05/1.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/2.40
+16% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
401 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bavois
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Basel II
2.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
30.09.2023 Basel II Basel II 0-2 HT 0-0 Bavois İSV1Y
29.04.2023 Bavois 4-4 HT 2-1 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
22.10.2022 Basel II Basel II 1-3 HT 1-2 Bavois İSV1Y
27.11.2021 Bavois 2-0 HT 1-0 Basel II Basel II İSV1Y
18.08.2021 Basel II Basel II 2-3 HT 1-3 Bavois İSV1Y
POST-MATCH Bavois vs Basel II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bavois nicked a narrow win over Basel II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 33% / 31% — and on the day Bavois made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Bavois had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.80 goals for Bavois and 1.40 for Basel II.

What was the final score of Bavois vs Basel II?

Bavois 1-0 Basel II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bavois vs Basel II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bavois win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bavois 37%, draw 33%, Basel II 31%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bavois), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bavois) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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