Etoile Carouge 3-2 Lugano II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme, 6 Apr 2024

📅06/04/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.22
Draw
24%
5.71
Away
11%
8.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.74
Over 2.5
56%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.96
No
49%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
19%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
3%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
77%
-12.5pp
24%
Draw
14%
+9.3pp
12%
Away Win
8%
+3.1pp
44%
Under 2.5
33%
+11.1pp
56%
Over 2.5
67%
-11.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.5pp
49%
BTTS No
53%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Etoile Carouge EU Bookmakers 82%
Head to Head
AWAY Lugano II EU Bookmakers 11%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
4.07/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.80
+84% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -25%
57% Ball Possession 43%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
459 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 262 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Etoile Carouge
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Lugano II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
70% Ball Possession 30%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Lugano II Lugano II 1-2 HT 0-1 Etoile Carouge Etoile Carouge İSV1Y
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Etoile Carouge
3-2
AWAY Lugano II
60% Ball Possession 40%
19 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Etoile Carouge vs Lugano II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Etoile Carouge nicked a narrow win over Lugano II 3-2. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Etoile Carouge as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Etoile Carouge had 60% of the ball to Lugano II's 40%, shots finished 19-8.

What was the final score of Etoile Carouge vs Lugano II?

Etoile Carouge 3-2 Lugano II in the Switzerland - 1st Division Yükselme on 06/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Etoile Carouge vs Lugano II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Etoile Carouge win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Etoile Carouge 65%, draw 24%, Lugano II 12%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Etoile Carouge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Etoile Carouge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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