Gwangju 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 21 Aug 2024

📅21/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
39%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.71
Over 2.5
47%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.8
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.18
6+ Goals
11%
20.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.85
1/2
8%
28.5
1/X
6%
14.35
X/1
12%
6.29
X/2
19%
4.56
X/X
14%
4.31
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
12%
3.1
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
28%
Draw
27%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
42%
-3.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
55%
-1.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
45%
+1.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS No
50%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gwangju EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai EU Bookmakers 46%
+4% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
1.90/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.02
+33% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 80%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
20.4 Crosses 15.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gwangju
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Ulsan Hyundai
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
327 Passes 428
82% Pass Accuracy 84%
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.07.2024 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
15.05.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
21.10.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 1-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOK
03.09.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 0-2 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
02.07.2023 Gwangju Gwangju 0-1 HT 0-0 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai GKOR
30.04.2023 Ulsan Hyundai Ulsan Hyundai 2-1 HT 0-0 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
POST-MATCH Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ulsan Hyundai edged past Gwangju 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 28% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ulsan Hyundai found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gwangju had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gwangju and 0.67 for Ulsan Hyundai.

What was the final score of Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Gwangju 0-1 Ulsan Hyundai in the South Kore - K League Classic on 21/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gwangju vs Ulsan Hyundai?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ulsan Hyundai win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Gwangju 33%, draw 28%, Ulsan Hyundai 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ulsan Hyundai) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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